There is currently a nine point gap between Saints and Dunfermline. A win would take it to twelve - with just eight games left to play. A twelve point gap with just 24 available over the rest of the season would be almost impossible to claw back, especially for a side that has struggled for wins and goals over the course of the season.
If Dunfermline win, of course, it all changes. A six point gap is easy to overcome, especially when you've just beaten the team you're chasing, dealing them a significant mental blow in the process.
Of course, a draw suits Saints and so that's probably what we'll play for. It will probably be the same team as the one that lost to Kilmarnock last week as well, although we may see Hugh Murray return to the side - even though he hasn't played since the end of last year. Watching Dunfermline Celtic on Scotsport, it seems there is an easy way to beat the Pars - pass the ball. They couldn't cope with Celtic's slip - and simple - passing moves, and even though they are a far better team than us (Celtic, not Dunfermline), surely we could try the same. A front pairing of Stewart Kean and Mark Corcoran would unsettle their defence more than if balls were being thumped in the direction of John Sutton or Billy Mehmet. Whatever side MacPherson selects, he can have no excuses - there are no injury or suspension problems.
Dunfermline will probably go at Saints from the off, as they must win if they are to have any hope of staying in the SPL this season. They've only won once in the league since Steve Kenny took over, but incredibly have made their way to the semi-finals of the Scottish Cup at the same time! Without the pressures of a relegation battle looming over them, they seem to thrive. In the league, it's a different story.
However, Saints are rather good at helping teams end winless runs, which is why I think Dunfermline will win 1-0.